Definition

Evidence tier

A label for where a claim's evidence came from, so you can weigh it before you act on it.

An evidence tier says where a number came from, which is usually more important than the number itself. Acumin uses four, in ascending order of authority: public data anyone can see, first-party analytics from your connected accounts, paid-platform results, and outcomes from a system that knows whether the thing actually sold.

The point of labelling is that two identical-looking claims can rest on completely different foundations. "This format outperforms" derived from public view counts is a weaker statement than the same sentence derived from your own retention data. But on a slide, they look the same.

Tiers are about provenance, not certainty. A well-sampled public-data finding can be more trustworthy than a first-party finding drawn from four posts. The tier tells you what kind of thing you're holding; the sample size and the confidence band tell you how hard to lean on it.

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